Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 54.39% | 24.61% | 21% |
| Both teams to score 48.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% | 52.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% | 74.58% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% | 19.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% | 51.23% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.98% | 40.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.33% | 76.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.38% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.32% Total : 21% |