Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Setubal win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Desportivo das Aves win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 33.67% | 28.02% | 38.3% |
| Both teams to score 47.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.53% | 58.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.94% | 79.06% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% | 69.02% |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% | 65.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.67% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.3% |