Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 36.99% | 28.01% | 35% |
| Both teams to score 47.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.94% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% | 30.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% | 66.46% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% | 67.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.91% Total : 35% |