Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

Jul 13, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Estadio do Bonfim

Setubal
1 - 2
Famalicao

Jubal (24')
Pires (8'), Carlinhos (37'), Makaridze (69'), Zequinha (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Goncalves (15', 89')
Racic (37'), Assuncao (38'), Goncalves (40'), Vana (90+5')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Famalicao.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Famalicao
23.75%	26.35%	49.9%

Both teams to score 46.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.17%

56.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.24%

77.76%

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52%

39.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83%

76.17%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15%

22.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.41%

56.59%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Setubal 23.75%

Famalicao 49.89%

Draw 26.34%

Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 5.75% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.42% Total : 23.75%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 13.31% 0-2 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-3 @ 4.84% 1-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.89%