Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 32.65% | 26.86% | 40.49% |
| Both teams to score 50.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% | 75.65% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% | 31.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.65% | 67.35% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% | 61.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 3% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.48% |