Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
