Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Nacional |
| 33.76% | 26.22% | 40.02% |
| Both teams to score 53.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% | 51.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% | 73.22% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% | 64.76% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% | 25.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% | 60.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.76% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.02% |