Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Oct 17, 2020 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
Nacional

Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Nacional
63.83%	20.65%	15.52%

Both teams to score 50.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.16%

44.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.8%

67.2%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64%

13.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.76%

40.25%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37%

41.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.89%

78.12%

Score Analysis

Braga 63.82%

Nacional 15.52%

Draw 20.65%

Braga	Draw	Nacional
2-0 @ 11.26% 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 6.63% 4-0 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.93% Total : 63.82%	1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.65%	0-1 @ 4.87% 1-2 @ 4.3% 0-2 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.52%

Braga2 - 1Nacional

Data Analysis

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Braga
2 - 1
Nacional