Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Braga |
| 22.54% | 24.71% | 52.74% |
| Both teams to score 50.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% | 51.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% | 73.53% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% | 37.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% | 74.56% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% | 19.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% | 51.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-1 @ 5.72% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.62% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 0-2 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-3 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 5.2% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-4 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.74% |