Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Oct 4, 2020 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
0 - 0
Belenenses

Victor (85')

Taira (80'), Esgaio (86')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Belenenses.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Belenenses
59.35%	23.58%	17.06%

Both teams to score 44.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92%

54.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49%

75.51%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04%

17.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2%

48.8%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.83%

45.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.93%

81.07%

Score Analysis

Nacional 59.34%

Belenenses 17.06%

Draw 23.58%

Nacional	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.16% 5-0 @ 1.01% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.34%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.45% 1-2 @ 4.4% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.49% Total : 17.06%