Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Oct 25, 2020 at 3pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 1
Maritimo

Pires (21'), Nuno (45+2')
Vitoria (23'), Pacheco (38'), Soares (80'), Ferraresi (89'), Figueiredo (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Junior (90')
Winck (8'), Jean (16'), Fumu Tamuzo (50')
Jean (36')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Maritimo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Maritimo
41.54%	27.76%	30.7%

Both teams to score 47.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.82%

58.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.17%

78.82%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42%

27.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9%

63.1%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56%

34.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85%

71.15%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 41.54%

Maritimo 30.69%

Draw 27.76%

Moreirense	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.54%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.25% Total : 30.69%