Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 32.78% | 27.9% | 39.32% |
| Both teams to score 47.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.82% | 58.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.17% | 78.83% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% | 32.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% | 69.54% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% | 28.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% | 64.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.31% |