Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 21, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes3 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Nacional |
| 44.68% | 28.1% | 27.22% |
| Both teams to score 44.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
