Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Jan 21, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 1
Nacional

Quaresma (22'), Estupinan (51'), Kal (61' og.)
Mensah (33'), Fernandes (41'), Andre (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gorre (16')
Azouni (19'), Gorre (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Nacional
44.68%	28.1%	27.22%

Both teams to score 44.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.29%

60.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.22%

80.77%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89%

27.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51%

62.48%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.43%

38.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69%

75.3%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 44.67%

Nacional 27.22%

Draw 28.09%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.84% Total : 44.67%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.09%	0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 6.2% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.22%