Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 27.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Famalicao |
| 27.47% | 27.63% | 44.89% |
| Both teams to score 46.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.99% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.52% | 79.47% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% | 37.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% | 74.2% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% | 26.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.71% | 61.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.47% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 13.12% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-3 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.32% 1-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.89% |