Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Jan 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 2
Famalicao

Carlos (70')
Lucas (26'), Carvalho (42'), Ramos (63'), Carlos (71'), Costinha (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Robert (52' pen.), Lukovic (82')
Jaime (54'), Patrick (73'), Rodrigues (86'), Vinagre (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Famalicao
25.64%	27.5%	46.85%

Both teams to score 45.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.46%

59.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.12%

79.88%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73%

39.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.02%

75.98%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54%

25.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.7%

60.29%

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 25.64%

Famalicao 46.85%

Draw 27.5%

Santa Clara	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.46% Total : 25.64%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.85%