Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 29.53% | 27.85% | 42.61% |
| Both teams to score 46.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.1% | 58.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.61% | 79.38% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% | 35.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% | 72.47% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% | 27.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% | 62.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.53% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.87% Total : 42.6% |