Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Dec 6, 2020 at 3pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
1 - 3
Santa Clara

Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Santa Clara
36.38%	28.49%	35.13%

Both teams to score 46.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.97%

60.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.74%

80.26%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48%

31.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09%

67.91%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67%

32.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.83%

Score Analysis

Nacional 36.38%

Santa Clara 35.12%

Draw 28.48%

Nacional	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.38%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.48%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.12%