Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
30.44% | 26.28% | 43.28% |
Both teams to score 51.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% | 52.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.71% | 74.29% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.26% | 31.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.83% | 68.17% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% | 24.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.54% | 58.46% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.89% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |