Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Jan 15, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Benfica

Porto
1 - 1
Benfica

Taremi (25')
Pepe (51'), Corona (64'), Marega (73'), Marchesin (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grimaldo (17')
Pizzi (50'), Tavares (54'), Chiquinho (78'), Vertonghen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawBenfica
39.59%26.28%34.13%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.38%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42%25.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55%60.45%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26%28.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42%64.58%
Score Analysis
    Porto 39.59%
    Benfica 34.13%
    Draw 26.27%
PortoDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 3.87%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.13%

How you voted: Porto vs Benfica

Porto
67.5%
Draw
19.4%
Benfica
13.1%
160