Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
| 15.33% | 20.56% | 64.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% | 44.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% | 67.23% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.08% | 41.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.64% | 78.36% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% | 13.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.89% | 40.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 4.25% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.24% 3-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.33% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.57% | 0-2 @ 11.34% 0-1 @ 11.24% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 6.64% 0-4 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 2.89% 0-5 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.94% Total : 64.1% |