Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Gil Vicente |
42.84% | 29.44% | 27.72% |
Both teams to score 41.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.27% | 64.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.3% | 83.7% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% | 30.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% | 66.17% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.59% | 40.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.98% | 77.02% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 14.59% 2-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 7.95% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.34% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 12.13% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.34% Total : 27.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
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