Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 3, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
4 - 0
Lech Poznan

Vertonghen (36'), Nunez (57'), Pizzi (58'), Weigl (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Katcharava (2'), Marchwinski (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Standard Liege and Lech Poznan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.56%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Lech Poznan
44.91%	21.28%	33.81%

Both teams to score 71.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.15%

27.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.45%

48.55%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61%

13.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69%

40.31%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29%

17.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63%

48.37%

Score Analysis

Benfica 44.91%

Lech Poznan 33.81%

Draw 21.28%

Benfica	Draw	Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 4.81% 2-0 @ 4.79% 1-0 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-3 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 44.91%	1-1 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 7.18% 3-3 @ 2.78% 0-0 @ 2.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.28%	1-2 @ 7.14% 2-3 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-1 @ 4.11% 0-2 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.78% 3-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.91% Total : 33.81%