Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Braga had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
| 60.49% | 21.22% | 18.29% |
| Both teams to score 54.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% | 42.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% | 64.88% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% | 13.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.25% | 40.75% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.15% | 36.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.37% | 73.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 6.62% 4-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.11% Total : 60.49% | 1-1 @ 9.99% 0-0 @ 5.01% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.01% 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.29% |