Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15%) and 0-3 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 9.54% | 19.02% | 71.45% |
| Both teams to score 38.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.17% | 51.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% | 73.59% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.97% | 56.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.51% | 88.49% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% | 13.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.97% | 40.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.3% 2-1 @ 2.52% 2-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.47% Total : 9.54% | 1-1 @ 8.69% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.02% | 0-2 @ 15.16% 0-1 @ 15% 0-3 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-4 @ 5.16% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-5 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.19% Total : 71.43% |