Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 22, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
2 - 4
Benfica

Ishak (15', 49')
Crnomarkovic (17'), Muhar (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Pizzi (9' pen.), Nunez (42', 60', 90+3')

Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Lech Poznan and Benfica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Benfica
16.28%	22.4%	61.32%

Both teams to score 46.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22%

50.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33%

72.67%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79%

44.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.7%

80.3%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9%

16.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.5%

45.5%

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 16.28%

Benfica 61.32%

Draw 22.4%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.81% 2-1 @ 4.33% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-1 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.28%	1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 13% 0-2 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-3 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 5.9% 0-4 @ 3.3% 1-4 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-5 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.1% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.94% Total : 61.32%