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Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs
Oct 1, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi
1 - 2
Lech Poznan

Fall (56')
Rezaei (20'), Nicholson (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ramirez (34'), Puchacz (41')
Ramirez (32'), Satka (50')
Satka (77')
Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Charleroi and Lech Poznan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
CharleroiDrawLech Poznan
49.06%23.5%27.45%
Both teams to score 59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71%42.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31%64.69%
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6%17.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18%47.83%
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43%28.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63%64.37%
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 49.06%
    Lech Poznan 27.45%
    Draw 23.5%
CharleroiDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 8.69%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 5.55%
3-0 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 10.89%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-1 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.9%
1-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 27.45%

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