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Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 5pm UK
Tsirion Athlítiko Kentro

Apollon
0 - 5
Lech Poznan


Benschop (30'), Sachetti (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tiba (42', 90+2'), Ishak (47'), Kaminski (58'), Sykora (81')
Satka (32')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Apollon Smyrni and Lech Poznan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Apollon SmyrniDrawLech Poznan
43.54%24.79%31.66%
Both teams to score 57.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18%45.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87%68.13%
Apollon Smyrni Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9%21.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08%53.92%
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51%27.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02%62.98%
Score Analysis
    Apollon Smyrni 43.54%
    Lech Poznan 31.66%
    Draw 24.79%
Apollon SmyrniDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.66%

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