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Champions League

PAOK
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 15, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Benfica

PAOK
2 - 1
Benfica

Giannoulis (63'), Zivkovic (75')
Pelkas (1'), Varela (29'), Michailidis (45'), Schwab (79'), Esiti (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (90+4')
Almeida (44')
Coverage of the Champions League Third Qualifying Round clash between PAOK and Benfica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest PAOK win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawBenfica
28.86%23.27%47.86%
Both teams to score 60.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73%40.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.36%62.63%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44%26.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23%61.76%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92%17.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73%47.26%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 28.86%
    Benfica 47.86%
    Draw 23.26%
PAOKDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 7.05%
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-0 @ 3.99%
3-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.86%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-1 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 5.53%
0-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 2.44%
0-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 47.86%