Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 30, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
2 - 1
Famalicao

Rochez (53'), Ramos (57')
Gorre (34'), Witi (37'), Borges (90+4'), Camacho (90+5'), Piscitelli (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (33')
Ugarte (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Famalicao
28.81%	27.37%	43.82%

Both teams to score 47.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.55%

57.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74%

78.25%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51%

35.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74%

72.25%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96%

26.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93%

61.07%

Score Analysis

Nacional 28.81%

Famalicao 43.82%

Draw 27.37%

Nacional	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.04% Total : 28.81%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 8.37% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.82%