Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Tondela

Nacional
2 - 0
Tondela

Micael (1'), Riascos (68')
Borges (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bebeto (18'), Agra (30'), Martinez (81'), Khacef (83')
Bebeto (27'), Khacef (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawTondela
46.21%26.52%27.28%
Both teams to score 49.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.94%55.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68%76.32%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.96%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 46.2%
    Tondela 27.28%
    Draw 26.51%
NacionalDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.28%

How you voted: Nacional vs Tondela

Nacional
50.0%
Draw
40.9%
Tondela
9.1%
22