Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 27, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional2 - 0Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Tondela |
| 46.21% | 26.52% | 27.28% |
| Both teams to score 49.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
