Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Nov 1, 2020 at 8pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Tondela

Goncalves (45', 49'), Porro (79'), Sporar (90+3')
Palhinha (32'), Nunes (85'), Santos (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ferreira (28'), Augusto (85')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Tondela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.54%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Tondela
60.54%	22.99%	16.47%

Both teams to score 45.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.25%

52.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.62%

74.38%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94%

17.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78%

47.22%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.86%

45.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.95%

81.04%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 60.53%

Tondela 16.47%

Draw 22.99%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.25% 5-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 60.53%	1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 6.12% 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.44% 1-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.47%