Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 2-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Moreirense |
| 36.66% | 30.8% | 32.54% |
| Both teams to score 39.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.38% | 67.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.32% | 85.68% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% | 35.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.77% | 38.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.01% | 74.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% 2-0 @ 7.31% 2-1 @ 7.03% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.13% Total : 36.65% | 0-0 @ 13.51% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.8% | 0-1 @ 12.99% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.64% Total : 32.54% |