Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.65%) and 3-0 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
70.8% | 19.19% | 10% |
Both teams to score 39.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% | 51.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% | 73.09% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% | 13.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.94% | 40.06% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.29% | 54.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.3% | 87.7% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
2-0 @ 14.8% 1-0 @ 14.65% 3-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 6.01% 4-0 @ 5.04% 4-1 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 70.79% | 1-1 @ 8.84% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.19% | 0-1 @ 4.38% 1-2 @ 2.67% 0-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.64% Total : 10% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
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