Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Moreirense |
| 41.89% | 28.12% | 29.99% |
| Both teams to score 46.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% | 59.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.02% | 79.98% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% | 63.77% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.23% | 35.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.46% | 72.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2% Total : 29.99% |