Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Jan 8, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Micael (11'), Simoes da Vinha (42'), Borges (61'), Freitas (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Santos (43'), Cabral (90')
Feddal (27'), Amorim (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
21.31%	24.79%	53.9%

Both teams to score 48.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.67%

53.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12%

74.88%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.1%

39.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.44%

76.56%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26%

19.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22%

51.78%

Score Analysis

Nacional 21.31%

Sporting Lisbon 53.89%

Draw 24.79%

Nacional	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 3.33% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.31%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 12.78% 0-2 @ 10.36% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 5.15% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.78% Total : 53.89%