Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 25, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Nacional

Benfica
1 - 1
Nacional

Chiquinho (14')
Jardel (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rochez (48')
Pedrao (80'), Micael (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.93%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawNacional
80.93%12.53%6.55%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.5%32.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.84%54.17%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.87%6.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.74%23.27%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.69%50.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.13%84.88%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 80.92%
    Nacional 6.55%
    Draw 12.53%
BenficaDrawNacional
2-0 @ 12.03%
3-0 @ 11.19%
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 8.26%
4-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-1 @ 5.37%
5-0 @ 4.36%
5-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.64%
6-0 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.84%
6-1 @ 1.39%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 80.92%
1-1 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.09%
2-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 12.53%
0-1 @ 2.12%
1-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 6.55%

How you voted: Benfica vs Nacional

Benfica
87.8%
Draw
9.5%
Nacional
2.7%
74
rhs 2.0


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