Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
68.59% | 18.57% | 12.84% |
Both teams to score 50.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.6% | 41.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.2% | 63.79% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.98% | 11.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.68% | 35.32% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% | 43.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.41% | 79.59% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 4.71% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.94% Total : 68.58% | 1-1 @ 8.81% 0-0 @ 4.78% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.93% Total : 18.57% | 0-1 @ 3.99% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.34% Total : 12.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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