Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Belenenses |
| 43.54% | 28.51% | 27.95% |
| Both teams to score 44.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.26% | 61.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.46% | 81.54% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% | 28.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.11% | 63.88% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.47% | 38.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.73% | 75.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 13.75% 2-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.3% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.65% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.51% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.57% Total : 27.94% |