Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
2 - 0
Tondela

Cassierra (18'), Esgaio (36')
Cardoso (2'), Phete (29')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Augusto (20'), Bebeto (84'), Pedro (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Tondela
39.36%	28.14%	32.5%

Both teams to score 46.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.9%

59.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.45%

79.55%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75%

29.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79%

65.21%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.37%

33.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73%

70.28%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 39.35%

Tondela 32.5%

Draw 28.14%

Belenenses	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.35%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.5%