Belenenses vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.