Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Dec 19, 2020 at 3pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 0
Belenenses

Joel (90+3')
Pinho (22'), Bambock (52'), Fumu Tamuzo (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sousa (38'), Kritsyuk (46'), Ribeiro (47'), Ramires (76'), Lima (90+6')
Kritsyuk (60'), Phete (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maritimo in this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Belenenses
36.74%	29.02%	34.23%

Both teams to score 44.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.05%

61.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.3%

81.7%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73%

32.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.23%

68.77%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08%

33.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4%

70.6%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 36.74%

Belenenses 34.23%

Draw 29.01%

Maritimo	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.01%	0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.23%