Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Feb 8, 2021 at 9pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Cassierra (30')
Silva (12'), Lima (37'), Henrique (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Estupinan (41')
Sacko (23'), Mensah (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
22.75%	27.28%	49.97%

Both teams to score 43.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.23%

60.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.18%

80.82%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.29%

42.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.96%

79.04%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47%

24.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.99%

59%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 22.75%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.96%

Draw 27.27%

Belenenses	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.08% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.07% Total : 22.75%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 14.72% 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-3 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.23% Total : 49.96%