Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Belenenses |
38.79% | 29.78% | 31.43% |
Both teams to score 42.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.26% | 64.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.29% | 83.7% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% | 32.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% | 68.95% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% | 37.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% | 74.23% |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 13.67% 2-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 7.56% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.14% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 31.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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