Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Feb 1, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 0
Belenenses

Crysan (13' pen.), Dos Santos Cabral (90+3' og.)
Mansur (47'), Allano (74'), Pereira (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henriques (35'), Sousa (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Belenenses
38.79%	29.78%	31.43%

Both teams to score 42.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.26%

64.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.29%

83.7%

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57%

32.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.05%

68.95%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55%

37.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77%

74.23%

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 38.79%

Belenenses 31.42%

Draw 29.78%

Santa Clara	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 13.67% 2-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 7.56% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.79%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.14% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.78%	0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 31.42%