Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Feb 9, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Tondela

Mane (59'), Camacho (64')
Borevkovic (5'), Aderlan (39'), Pele (87'), Gelson (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Murillo (32')
Medioub (10'), Agra (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Tondela
50.74%	27%	22.26%

Both teams to score 43.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.76%

60.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.58%

80.42%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05%

23.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.83%

58.17%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.11%

42.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.8%

79.2%

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 50.74%

Tondela 22.26%

Draw 26.99%

Rio Ave	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.06% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.26%