Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Nacional |
| 45.9% | 27.54% | 26.56% |
| Both teams to score 45.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.87% | 59.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% | 79.57% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% | 60.69% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% | 38.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% | 75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% 2-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.56% |