Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 64.13% | 21.52% | 14.35% |
| Both teams to score 45.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% | 72.63% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% | 15.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.24% | 43.75% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.13% | 46.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.61% | 82.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 64.12% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 0.97% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.19% Total : 14.35% |