Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 36.43% | 28.39% | 35.18% |
| Both teams to score 46.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% | 79.99% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% | 31.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% | 67.66% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.88% | 32.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% | 68.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.18% |