Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 52.77% | 24.81% | 22.42% |
| Both teams to score 49.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% | 52.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% | 73.95% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% | 19.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.18% | 51.81% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% | 38.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% | 74.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.77% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.56% Total : 22.42% |