Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 43.86%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 43.86% | 28.97% | 27.16% |
| Both teams to score 42.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.47% | 63.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.15% | 82.85% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% | 28.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% | 64.76% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.17% | 76.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% 2-0 @ 8.95% 2-1 @ 8.16% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.51% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.36% Total : 27.16% |