Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Boavista |
| 32.91% | 29.08% | 38.01% |
| Both teams to score 44.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.74% | 62.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.07% | 81.93% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% | 35.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% | 71.76% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% | 31.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% | 68.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.16% Total : 32.91% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 12.74% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.01% |