Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
| 37.23% | 29.48% | 33.29% |
| Both teams to score 43.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.47% | 63.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.15% | 82.85% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% | 32.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.66% | 69.34% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% | 35.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.81% | 72.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-1 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.61% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 12.05% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.09% Total : 33.28% |